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Episode 34

My Week 9 NFL Predictions

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Denver Broncos (5-3) at Baltimore Ravens (5-3)
The Week 9 NFL matchup between the Denver Broncos and Baltimore Ravens is set take place at M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore. Both teams enter the game with a record of 5-3. The Ravens are favored by 8. Historically, the Ravens have had success against the Broncos, winning their last encounter in 2022 by a score of 10-9
Broncos Offensively
Bo Nix: The rookie quarterback will be pivotal for the Broncos, needing to manage turnovers against a strong Ravens defense. The Broncos rank 14th in rushing yards per game, indicating a solid ground game. Investments in the offensive line have bolstered its potential, with players like Ben Powers and Mike McGlinchey enhancing protection.
Defensively
The Broncos’ defense has performed impressively against top quarterbacks this season. They have consistently pressured opposing QBs. The defense ranks high in several categories, including points allowed per game and sacks, showcasing their ability to disrupt both passing and rushing attacks. Key players like Pat Surtain contribute significantly by limiting opponents’ passing options.
The Ravens Offensively
Lamar Jackson (Ravens): As a dynamic dual-threat quarterback, Jackson is crucial for Baltimore’s offense, contributing significantly with both passing and rushing.
Derrick Henry (Ravens): Leading the NFL in rushing yards and touchdowns, Henry is a major offensive weapon for the Ravens. The Ravens picked former Steelers receiver Dionte Johnson on a trade from the Panthers. Johnson should be a valuable piece for Jackson although Flowers will continue to be the number one receiver.
Defensively
The Ravens’ has shown mixed performance this season. They excel in stopping the run, allowing only 69.9 rushing yards per game, which ranks first in the NFL. However, they struggle against the pass, allowing 291.4 passing yards per game, ranking last. Despite this, they are effective in generating pressure, with 24 sacks, ranking fourth. Their ability to disrupt plays is a key strength, but their vulnerability to passing attacks remains a concern. Still the Broncos won’t be able to keep up with the Ravens scoring
Broncos 10, Ravens 28

Miami Dolphins vs Buffalo Bills
Miami Dolphins (2-5), at Buffalo Bills (6-2)
The Week 9 matchup between the Buffalo Bills and Miami Dolphins is set take place at Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park, New York. The Bills, with a 6-2 record, are on a three-game winning streak and are favored by 6.5 points over the Dolphins, who are 2-5.
The Bills offense is fifth in the league averaging 28.8 points per game. While the Dolphins rank last in the league, averaging 13.9 points per game.
Yards per Game: Miami averages 318.0 yards (21st), compared to Buffalo’s 336.5 yards (13th). The Dolphins average 186.3 passing yards (25th), whereas the Bills record 214.3 yards (15th). Miami excels in rushing averaging 131.7 yards (9th), slightly higher than Buffalo’s 122.3 yards (12th).

Defensively
The Bills allow 18.3 points per game that’s (6th) in the league, while the Dolphins allow 22.4 points per game(15th).
Miami’s defense is stronger, allowing 300.0 yards per game (7th) compared to Buffalo’s 328.4 yards (17th).
The Dolphins excel with 176.3 passing yards allowed (4th), whereas the Bills allow 208.1 passing yards (13th).
The Bills have the slight edge in rushing yards allowed, allowing 120.3 rushing yards (15th) compared to Miami’s 123.7 yards (16th).
Turnovers and Sacks: Buffalo has forced more turnovers (14, ranked 5th) and has more sacks (20, ranked 11th) than Miami.
Bills are hard to beat at this point
Miami 13, Bills 31

Chargers vs Browns
In the upcoming Week 9 matchup, the Los Angeles Chargers will visit the Cleveland Browns. The Chargers come into this game with a record of (4-3) and are currently favored by 2.5 points after initially opening as underdogs. The Browns are struggling with a record of (2-6) and are in need of a victory to try and end the season above 500. Cleveland’s Jameis Winston has shown promise, leading the team to recent success, while the Chargers aim to capitalize on their solid record against the spread this season.
The Los Angeles Chargers’ offense ranks 24th in points per game (18.9) and 23rd in total yards per game (311.1). The Cleveland Browns’ offense ranks 27th in points per game (17.3) and 31st in total yards per game (272.3). Both teams have struggled offensively this season, with the Chargers slightly outperforming the Browns in most categories.
Defensively
Los Angeles Chargers
• Ranked ninth in passing yards allowed, the Chargers have a strong secondary and an effective pass rush, accumulating 18 sacks this season.
• The Chargers’ run defense is solid but will be tested by the Browns’ strong running game.
Cleveland Browns
• The Browns are known for having one of the best defenses in the NFL, excelling in both pass and run defense.
•The Browns’ defense is opportunistic, capable of forcing turnovers and applying pressure to disrupt opposing offenses.
Both teams have formidable defenses, with the Chargers excelling in pass defense and the Browns boasting a balanced, high-performing unit.
The Browns showed last year what they can do with a competent qb by making it to the playoffs last season
Browns 24, Chargers 21

Raiders vs Bengals
The Las Vegas Raiders will face the Cincinnati Bengals in Week 9 of the 2024 NFL season at Paycor Stadium. Both teams have a 2-6 record, with the Bengals favored by 7.5 points.
Offensive comparison

Bengals Offense:
                •             Points/Game: 24.4 (Rank 10)
                •             Yards/Game: 325.3 (Rank 17)
                •             Pass Yards/Game: 235.5 (Rank 7)
                •             Rush Yards/Game: 89.8 (Rank 28)
                •             Strong in passing efficiency and third-down conversions (45.9%, Rank 5).
Raiders Offense:
                •             Points/Game: 18.0 (Rank 26)
                •             Yards/Game: 288.1 (Rank 28)
                •             Pass Yards/Game: 209.1 (Rank 18)
                •             Rush Yards/Game: 79.0 (Rank 31)
                •             High turnover rate with 17 turnovers (Rank 32).
Defensive Comparison
Bengals Defense:
                •             Points Allowed/Game: 25.4 (Rank 23)
                •             Yards Allowed/Game: 358.6 (Rank 24)
                •             Strong run defense but weaker pass coverage.
Raiders Defense:
                •             Points Allowed/Game: 26.3 (Rank 27)
                •             Yards Allowed/Game: 319.0 (Rank 12)
                •             Better at limiting passing yards, ranked 8th in pass yards allowed
at th end of the day the Bengals passing attack will be too much for the Raiders
Bengals 28, Raiders 10

Commanders vs Giants
The Week 9 matchup between the Washington Commanders (4-2) and New York Giants (2-5) at Northwest Stadium in Landover, Maryland. This stadium is the home field for the Commanders. The Commanders are favored by 3.5 points.
Washington Commanders:
Jayden Daniels has significantly impacted the Washington Commanders’ performance this season. As a rookie quarterback, he has led the team to a 4-1 record in the last five games, averaging 35.4 points per game during this stretch. His dual-threat capability, combining passing and rushing, has been pivotal, making him the first rookie quarterback to pass for over 1,000 yards and rush for over 250 yards in his first five games. Daniels’ impressive completion rate and ability to manage games efficiently have contributed to the Commanders’ strong start and their position at the top of the NFC East. Adding to his resume Jayden Daniels is the first rookie quarterback to complete a Hail Mary pass for a game-winning touchdown in NFL history. He achieved this remarkable feat with a 52-yard throw that landed in the arms of Noah Brown, securing a victory for the Washington Commanders against the Chicago Bears in week 8. This play has been highlighted as a defining moment of the season and showcases Daniels’ poise and skill as a rookie quarterback.

Offensive Comparison:
• Washington Commanders:
• The Commanders have shown significant offensive improvement, averaging 35.4 points per game in their last five games.
• Jayden Daniels has been a key factor, with high completion rates and low turnovers.
• New York Giants:
• The Giants have struggled offensively, particularly in pass protection, ranking low in yards per passing attempt.
• They have faced challenges with turnovers, impacting their scoring ability.
Defensive Comparison:
• Washington Commanders:
• The Commanders’ defense ranks poorly, allowing 6.21 yards per play, but has improved recently with increased sack production and takeaways.
• New York Giants:
• The Giants’ defense has been inconsistent, struggling to stop key plays and allowing significant rushing yards against opponents like the Commanders
Washington will be too much for the Giants both offensively and defensively
Washington 42, Giants 14

Cowboys vs Falcons
The Week 9 NFL matchup between the Dallas Cowboys and the Atlanta Falcons is set to take place at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, Georgia.The Falcons are slightly favored by 2.5 points, reflecting the Cowboys’ (3-4) recent struggles, including a two-game losing streak and a record under .500 . The Falcons have a 5-3 record and are performing well offensively, ranking high in points and yards per game . Meanwhile, the Cowboys have been inconsistent, with issues in both offense and defense contributing to their recent losses

Offensive Comparison
Dallas Cowboys:
• Points Per Game: 21.4 (22nd)
• Total Yards Per Game: 330.1 (15th)
• Passing Yards Per Game: 256.0 (3rd)
• Rushing Yards Per Game: 74.1 (32nd)
• Red Zone Efficiency: 42.1% (31st)
Atlanta Falcons:
• Points Per Game: 24.3 (12th)
• Total Yards Per Game: 373.6 (7th)
• Passing Yards Per Game: 252.9 (5th)
• Rushing Yards Per Game: 120.8 (15th)
• Red Zone Efficiency: 52.0% (23rd)
Defensive Comparison
Dallas Cowboys:
• Points Allowed Per Game: 28.3 (31st)
• Total Yards Allowed Per Game: 372.6 (26th)
• Passing Yards Allowed Per Game: 218.0 (21st)
• Rushing Yards Allowed Per Game: 154.6 (31st)
Atlanta Falcons:
• Points Allowed Per Game: 24.4 (19th)
• Total Yards Allowed Per Game: 348.0 (19th)
• Passing Yards Allowed Per Game: 215.5 (18th)
• Rushing Yards Allowed Per Game: 132.5 (21st)
The Falcons have a more balanced offense and a slightly better defense compared to the Cowboys, who excel in passing but struggle significantly in rushing and defense.
The Cowboys have too many problems in too many areas to expect to win this game
Falcons 20, Cowboys 17

Saints vs Panthers
The New Orleans Saints will face the Carolina Panthers on Sunday at Bank of America Stadium in Charlotte, North Carolina. The Saints, with a 2-6 record, are 6.5-point favorites against the 1-7 Panthers. In their last matchup, the Saints defeated the Panthers 47-10.Both teams are struggling this season, with the Saints losing six straight and the Panthers five

In their recent games, the New Orleans Saints have struggled, losing six consecutive matches. Their last victory was a dominant 47-10 win over the Carolina Panthers in Week 1 of the 2024 season. The Carolina Panthers have also faced difficulties, losing five straight games. Their most recent game was a loss to the Denver Broncos, where they were unable to cover an 11-point spread. Both teams are looking to improve their performance as they prepare for their upcoming matchup..
who cares…really
Saints 10, Panthers 3

Titans vs Patriots
The Tennessee Titans (1-6) will host the New England Patriots (2-6) in Week 9 at Nissan Stadium. The Titans are favored by 3 points despite being on a three-game losing streak. The Patriots recently secured a surprising win over the Jets but have struggled overall. Both teams have had offensive challenges, with potential backup quarterbacks starting due to injuries. The game is expected to be low-scoring, with an over/under set around 38 points
In their recent games, the Tennessee Titans have struggled significantly, losing three consecutive matches, including a 52-14 defeat to the Detroit Lions in Week 8. The New England Patriots, on the other hand, snapped a six-game losing streak with a narrow 25-22 victory over the New York Jets in Week 8. However, they lost quarterback Drake Maye to a concussion during that game, which might affect their performance in the upcoming match against the Titans
Patriots 13, Titans 14

Eagles vs Jaguars

The Week 9 NFL matchup between the Philadelphia Eagles (5-2) and the Jacksonville Jaguars (2-5) is at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia. The game will feature a quarterback duel between Jalen Hurts of the Eagles and Trevor Lawrence of the Jaguars. The Jaguars will face challenges as they will be without their top two wide receivers due to injuries. This absence could impact their offensive strategy against the Eagles’ defense.
Offensive Comparison
• Philadelphia Eagles: The Eagles’ offense is ranked 10th in the league, averaging 24.4 points per game. They excel in rushing, ranked 6th with 146.2 yards per game, and are 13th in passing with 238.8 yards per game.
• Jacksonville Jaguars: The Jaguars’ offense ranks 21st, scoring an average of 21.8 points per game. They face challenges due to injuries to key receivers like Christian Kirk and Brian Thomas Jr., impacting their passing game.
Defensive Comparison
• Philadelphia Eagles: The Eagles’ defense is ranked 7th, allowing 18.9 points per game. They have recorded 20 sacks and three interceptions this season.
• Jacksonville Jaguars: The Jaguars’ defense is ranked 29th, conceding 28 points per game. They have managed 17 sacks and two interceptions so far.

Eagles 35, Jaguars17

Bears vs Cardinals

The Chicago Bears will face the Arizona Cardinals in Week 9 at State Farm Stadium in Glendale, Arizona
Currently 4-3, the Bears have a strong defense, ranking fourth in defensive EPA per play. Their offense is led by QB Caleb Williams and RB D’Andre Swift.
Standing at 4-4, the Cardinals have won three of their last four games but struggle defensively.
The Chicago Bears have struggled significantly in their recent road games. They have lost each of their last 18 Sunday road games. Since Matt Eberflus became head coach in 2022, the Bears are 3-16 in road games. They have not won a road game since defeating the Minnesota Vikings 12-10 on November 27, 2023. This poor performance on the road highlights a major challenge for the team as they prepare for upcoming away games.
The Arizona Cardinals have shown mixed results in their recent road games. They secured a narrow victory against the Miami Dolphins, winning 28-27, and also defeated the San Francisco 49ers 24-23. However, they suffered losses to the Green Bay Packers (34-13) and Indianapolis Colts (21-16). Their performance has been inconsistent, with both strong and weak showings on the road.

Offensive Comparison
Chicago Bears
• Points per Game: 23.3 (15th)
• Yards per Game: 302.3 (26th)
• Passing Yards per Game: 184.4 (27th)
• Rushing Yards per Game: 117.9 (19th)
Arizona Cardinals
• Points per Game: 22.3 (18th)
• Yards per Game: 338.5 (12th)
• Passing Yards per Game: 196.8 (22nd)
• Rushing Yards per Game: 141.8 (7th) James Conner & Kyler Murray
Defensive Comparison
Chicago Bears
• Points Allowed per Game: 17.0 (4th)
• Yards Allowed per Game: 319.0 (12th)
• Sacks: 18
• Interceptions: 7
Arizona Cardinals
• Points Allowed per Game: 25.6 (24th)
• Yards Allowed per Game: 376.5 (27th)
• Sacks: 14
• Interceptions: 5
The Bears have a stronger defense, while the Cardinals have a more productive offense, especially in rushing yards.

Bears 21, Cardinals 20

Lions vs Packers

The Detroit Lions will face the Green Bay Packers in Week 9 of the 2024 NFL season at Lambeau Field on November 3. The Lions are currently 6-1 and have been praised by Packers coach Matt LaFleur as “arguably the best team in the NFL” due to their recent performances. The Packers, at 6-2, are dealing with injuries, including quarterback Jordan Love’s groin strain. The Lions are favored by 3.5 points. This matchup is crucial for NFC North standings and continues a competitive rivalry.
The Detroit Lions have been on a strong run, winning their last five games. They are 6-1 overall and have been effective both offensively and defensively, with key performances from players like Amon-Ra St. Brown and a solid defense. The Green Bay Packers are 6-2, having won four straight games. However, they face potential challenges with injuries, including quarterback Jordan Love’s groin strain. Both teams have shown competitive play, setting up an intriguing NFC North matchup.
Offensive Comparison:
• Lions Offense: The Detroit Lions boast the top-scoring offense in the NFL, averaging 33.4 points per game. They excel in both passing and rushing, ranking 11th in passing yards and 6th in rushing yards per game.
• Packers Offense: The Green Bay Packers also have a strong offense, ranked 6th in points per game at 27.0. They are 9th in passing yards and 5th in rushing yards per game.
Defensive Comparison:
• Lions Defense: Detroit’s defense allows 19.1 points per game, ranking 8th, but struggles against the pass, ranking 27th.
• Packers Defense: Green Bay’s defense ranks 11th in points allowed per game at 21.3 and performs better against the pass than the Lions.

Lions 28,  Packers 24

Rams vs Seahawks

The Los Angeles Rams will face the Seattle Seahawks in Week 9 of the 2024 NFL season on November 3, at Lumen Field in Seattle. The Rams are slightly favored with a -1.5 spread.
The Rams come into this game with a record of (3-4). They recently secured a victory against the Minnesota Vikings, winning 30-20 on Thursday night, which gives them a bit of momentum heading into this matchup.
The Seahawks are currently at (4-4) and are looking to bounce back after a tough loss to the Buffalo Bills. They are aiming to regain their footing in the playoff race.
Los Angeles Rams:
• Offense: Averaging 20.6 points per game, ranking 23rd in the league. They generate 238.7 passing yards per game (13th) and 101.3 rushing yards per game (26th).
• Defense: Allowing 24.9 points per game, ranked 22nd.
Seattle Seahawks:
• Offense: Scoring an average of 23.8 points per game, with a balanced approach in both passing and rushing.
• Defense: Known for a strong defensive front, often creating pressure on opposing quarterbacks and maintaining a competitive edge at home.

Rams 31, Seahawks 28

Colts vs Vikings

The Indianapolis Colts will face the Minnesota Vikings in Week 9 of the 2024 NFL season on Sunday Night Football. The game is set for November 3 at U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis. In recent games, the Minnesota Vikings have struggled, losing their last two matchups after a strong 5-0 start to the season. They were defeated by the Los Angeles Rams in Week 8 and another team in Week 7, facing challenges against experienced quarterbacks. The Indianapolis Colts, meanwhile, have had a mixed performance, maintaining a 4-4 record. They lost a close divisional game against the Houston Texans in Week 8 and have been involved in several one-score games throughout the season.

Offensive Comparison:
• Colts: The Indianapolis Colts rely heavily on their rushing attack, with Jonathan Taylor projected to gain 79 yards. Quarterback Anthony Richardson is expected to contribute both in the air with 184 passing yards and on the ground with 35 rushing yards.
• Vikings: The Minnesota Vikings’ offense is led by Sam Darnold, who is projected to pass for 255 yards. They have a strong receiving corps, with Justin Jefferson expected to lead with 90 receiving yards. Their rushing game, featuring Aaron Jones, is projected for 73 yards.
Defensive Comparison:
• Colts: The Colts’ defense has been involved in numerous close games, indicating resilience but also vulnerability in tight situations.
• Vikings: Minnesota’s defense is expected to put pressure on the Colts, with predictions suggesting they could achieve at least five sacks in the upcoming game

Vikings 24, Colts 21

Chiefs vs Buccaneers

 The Week 9 NFL matchup between the Kansas City Chiefs and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers is set for Monday, November 4, 2024, at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City. The Chiefs, currently undefeated at 7-0, are favored by 9 points against the Buccaneers, who hold a 4-4 record. Chiefs Overview:
• The Chiefs are coming off a 27-20 victory over the Las Vegas Raiders.
• Patrick Mahomes had a strong performance with 262 yards and two touchdowns. The Chiefs are on a 13-game winning streak
Buccaneers Overview:
• Tampa Bay lost their last game to the Atlanta Falcons, 31-26.
• Baker Mayfield threw for 330 yards and three touchdowns in that game.
Offensive Comparison:
• Kansas City Chiefs:
• Points/Game: 24.7 (9th)
• Yards/Game: 348.0 (11th)
• Pass Yards/Game: 225.9 (12th)
• Rush Yards/Game: 122.1 (13th)
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers:
• Points/Game: 29.4 (4th)
• Yards/Game: 389.4 (4th)
• Pass Yards/Game: 258.5 (2nd)
• Rush Yards/Game: 130.9 (10th)
Defensive Comparison:
• Kansas City Chiefs:
• Points Allowed/Game: 17.6 (5th)
• Yards Allowed/Game: 295.0 (5th)
• Rush Yards Allowed/Game: 82.3 (3rd)
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers:
• Points Allowed/Game: 26.6 (28th)
• Yards Allowed/Game: 387.0 (30th)
• Pass Yards Allowed/Game: 255.4 (29th)
The Chiefs have a balanced offense and a strong defense, particularly against the run, while the Buccaneers boast a high-scoring offense but struggle defensively, especially against the pass.

Chiefs 31, Bucs 20


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